Next release Wednesday, 16 Sep 2026 at 14:00 ET
The Federal Open Market Committee's decision on the federal funds target range, published with a statement at 14:00 ET. A press conference follows at 14:30, which is why the hour after this release often looks different from the first thirty minutes.
Across 1 releases, Nasdaq 100 moved a typical 0.72% from high to low in the thirty minutes after the print. The widest was 0.72%, on 29 Jul 2026. It finished that half hour higher 1 times out of 1. The net move is consistently smaller than the swing — a median of 0.20% against 0.72% of travel — which is what a price that jumps and comes back looks like in numbers.
Each line is one release, from 15 minutes before to an hour after, as percent from the last price beforehand. 29 Jul 2026 is the bright one.
| release | 5 min after | 30 min after | 60 min after | swing, first 30 min |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul 2026 | +0.30% | +0.20% | +1.22% | 0.72% |
Across 1 releases, S&P 500 moved a typical 0.50% from high to low in the thirty minutes after the print. The widest was 0.50%, on 29 Jul 2026. It finished that half hour higher 1 times out of 1. The net move is consistently smaller than the swing — a median of 0.14% against 0.50% of travel — which is what a price that jumps and comes back looks like in numbers.
Each line is one release, from 15 minutes before to an hour after, as percent from the last price beforehand. 29 Jul 2026 is the bright one.
| release | 5 min after | 30 min after | 60 min after | swing, first 30 min |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul 2026 | +0.25% | +0.14% | +0.77% | 0.50% |
The reference price is the last print before the release minute. Every figure on this page is the distance from that price, as a percentage, using one-minute bars. “Swing” is the highest price minus the lowest price in the thirty minutes after the release — not the net change, which is where a price ended up rather than how far it travelled to get there.
Release dates come from the Federal Reserve's own published schedule, so an unusual date is a real one rather than a guess from a calendar rule. Prices are Nasdaq 100 and S&P 500 index CFDs, which trade around the clock and therefore cover the 08:30 ET releases that land before the equity market opens. They track the futures closely but are not the CME contracts, and the moves are index points.
Past reactions are a record, not a forecast. Nothing here is investment advice.
Other releases: Consumer Price Index JOLTS Job Openings Nonfarm Payrolls Producer Price Index
One email before the week opens: which releases are coming, and how the Nasdaq 100 and S&P 500 moved after the last five of each.
One email a week. Nothing else, and no sharing your address.